Trends, Statistics And Betting Angles For CH4 Races (Saturday 7.7.2012)
July 5, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
The following FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing) and Jonathan Burgess. The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday. (Refer to our comments for potential bet strategies) We have also provided strategic bet placement advice.
Backing or Dutching
Following these bet placement approaches you`ll either be risking one point or split staking, ultimately there’s less risk than when laying! You can use this dutching calculator to work out your stakes here. Read our tutorial on how to use Dutching to make regular profits here
Odds & Liability When laying
Obviously nobody wants to take unnecessary risks. However with Graded & Listed races being so competitive it often means the favourites go off at bigger odds, although the amount of mug money being thrown into the market means we can often obtain value lays on an over bet favourites. Use the liability function on your Betfair bet slip, if your not sure how to do this, here`s a tutorial.
Alternatively, Â if you manage to get value on your lay bet before the race starts you can minimise the risk by backing the horse in play for bigger odds.
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2:05 SAN Coral Charge (Registered As The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y CH4
CORAL CHARGE
ODDS
14/15 priced at 8/1 or less
FAVOURITES
4 winning favs for a loss of -£2.12
TRAINERS
Dandy Nicholls has won the race twice from 10 runners with another 2 placed
Brian Meehan had won the race just once from 8 runners but has had another 3 placed
DRAW
11/15 drawn in stalls 1 – 4
14/15 drawn in stalls 1-7
AGE
15/15 aged 3 to 6
WEIGHT/OR
15/15 rated within 10 lbs of the winner
LAST RACE
7 winners last raced at Ascot from 71 runners with another 14 placed
3 winners last raced at Newcastle from 12 runners with another 1 placed
2 winners last raced at Sandown from 13 runners with another 4 placed
15/15 ran within the last 25 days
13/15 did not run a handicap
13/15 ran in either a group or listed race
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had run at least twice in the last 90 days
15/15 had won between 1-5 races in their careers
2:55 HAY bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y CH4
LANCASHIRE OAKS
ODDS
13/15 priced at 8/1 or less
12/15 won by the first 3 in the betting
FAVOURITES
4 winning favourites for a loss of -£4.12
TRAINERS
John Gosden has won the race 4 times from 12 runners with another 1 placed
LAST RACE
15/15 finished in the first 6
3:25 HAY bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y CH4
OLD NEWTON CUP
ODDS
14/15 priced at 20/1 or less
12/15 priced 13/2 to 20/1
FAVOURITES
2 winning favourites for a loss of -£8.00
TRAINERS
Luca Cumani has had 4 winners from 4 runners with another 3 placed
Mark Johnston has had 18 runners with only 1 placed
WEIGHT
14/15 carried 8st 8lb to 9st 8lb
14/15 rated 88 to 103
As yet no top weight has won
AGE
15/15 aged 4 to 7
LAST RACE
6 winners last raced at Ascot from 71 runners with another 12 placed
3 winners last raced at Goodwood from 12 runners with another one placed
3 winners last raced at York from 29 runners with another 4 placed
So from those 3 courses we have 12/112 and from the rest just 3 winners from 107 runners
15/15 raced in a Class 2,3 or 4 race
15/15 raced within the last 75 days
14/15 raced in a handicap
13/15 were priced at 12/1 or less
3:45 SAN Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y CH4
ECLIPSE
ODDS
15/15 priced at 20/1 or less
13/15 priced at 8/1 or less
12/15 from the first 3 in the betting
FAVOURITES
5 winning favs for a loss of -£5.10
TRAINER
Aiden O’Brien has won the race 5 times from 21 runners with another 4 placed
Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 3 times from 19 runners with another 6 placed
Definitely a race for the bigger trainers with other winners coming from Cumani, Bell, Bin Suroor & Sir Henry Cecil
AGE
15/15 aged 3 to 5
LAST RACE
11 winners last raced at Ascot from 60 runners with another 11 placed
3 winners last raced at Epsom from 21 runners with another 5 placed
15/15 raced in a Group 1 or 2 race
15/15 raced within the last 30 days
14/15 finished in the first 5
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had run at least once in the last 90 days
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