Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 29.6.2013)
June 28, 2013 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races each Saturday.
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TV raced trends for Saturday 29.6.2013
3:15 | NCS | John Smith´s Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y CH4 |
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ANORTHUMBERLAND PLATE
ODDS
As would be expected with a wide open handicap lots of big priced winners up to 33/1
3 winning favourites for a loss of -£3.00
TRAINERS
Mark Johnston has saddled 18 runners but has yet to have one even placed
AGE
Winners range from age 3 to 8
OR/WEIGHT
16/16 rated at least 85
16/16 carried 7-13 to 9-5
However the top 6 in the weights have only produced 2 winners from 102 runners
DRAW
10/16 drawn in stalls 1 to 9
LAST RACE
Those that last raced in a National Hunt race have a fine record, 4 winners from only 10 runners so take note
0/16 came from a Class 4, 5 or 6 race
13/16 ran over a distance of at least 2 miles
16/16 raced within the last 60 days
12/16 either won or were beaten less than 3 lengths last time out
OTHER FACTORS
16/16 had won at least 1 race in their career
15/16 had finished in the first 3 in at least one of their last 3 starts
15/16 had raced at least twice in the last 90 days
10/16 had won at the distance before from 112 runners compared to 6 winners from 186 runners who had not won at the distance
SUMMARY
A tricky contest but I would be looking for a horse that has raced twice in the last 90 days and was rated at least 85 that today was carrying 9st 5lbs or less. On it’s last race I would prefer it to have been over at least 2 miles and either won or been beaten by less than 3 lengths and not in a Class 4,5 or 6 race. But overall not a strong trends race at all.
2:05 | NCS | Betfred Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4 |
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CHIPCHASE STAKES
ODDS
15/16 priced 12/1 or less
7 winning favourites for a profit of +£4.00
LAST RACE
8 winners last raced at Ascot from 47 runners with another 10 placed
3 winners last raced at York with another 5 placed
15/16 raced over at least 6 furlongs
4/16 ran in a Group 1 but from only 17 runners with another 7 placed too
15/16 ran within the last 45 days
OTHER FACTORS
16/16 had finished in the first 2 in at least one of their last 5 runs
16/16 had won at least 2 races in their career
16/16 had won at the distance
SUMMARY
A bit stronger this one and we should be looking for those priced 12/1 or less that last raced over 6 furlongs in the last 45 days, that has won at least twice with one being over today’s distance. I would also seriously look at horses that ran in a Group 1 last time out.
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