Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 21.9.2013)
September 20, 2013 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
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TV raced trends for Saturday 21.9.2013
Please note we will be posting selections which fit the trends below on Saturday morning before the races.
| 2:40 | AYR | William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4 |
|---|
SILVER CUP
ODDS
Various priced winners with just 2 winning favourites for a loss of -£8.25. For some reason 3rd & 4th favs perform far better than 1st and 2nd favs
However the top 4 in the betting have had 9 winners from 77 runners for a profit of +£23.75
TRAINER
Kevin Ryan has had 26 runners with no winner but 4 placed
Michael Dods has had 2 winners from 14 runners with another 3 placed
Dandy Nicholls has had 4 winners but has had 50 runners
AGE
All winners aged 8 or less. 5 yr old fair best with 7 winners
LAST RACE
16/16 raced in a Class 2,3 or 4 race
16/16 finished in the first 10
10/16 either won or finished within 3 length of the winner
OTHER FACTORS
15/16 had won at least 2 races in their careers
SUMMARY
We should be looking for a horse aged 9 or under who is in the top 4 in the betting that last raced in a Class 2,3 or 4 race.
Qualifying horses that fit the trends….
Too many really so worth narrowing them down to the live contenders
| (0) SILVER CUP – Ayr | 14:40:00 | Ayr | Colonel Mak |
| (0) SILVER CUP – Ayr | 14:40:00 | Ayr | Harrison George (IRE) |
| (0) SILVER CUP – Ayr | 14:40:00 | Ayr | Pearl Ice |
| (0) SILVER CUP – Ayr | 14:40:00 | Ayr | Sir Reginald |
| (0) SILVER CUP – Ayr | 14:40:00 | Ayr | Take Cover |
GOLD CUP
| 3:50 | AYR | William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4 |
|---|
ODDS
16/16 priced 10/1 to 33/1 with all favourites being beaten. There have been 32 runners priced 8/1 or less and all have lost. 14/16 were priced between 10/1 and 20/1 including the last 8
TRAINER
Dandy Nicholls has won the race 6 times from 64 runners
Kevin Ryan has won the race 3 times from 26 runners
Richard Hannon has won the race twice from just 5 runners
AGE
16/16 aged 6 or less
15/16 aged 4, 5 or 6
WEIGHT/OR
Top rated horse has yet to win but the last 8 yrs the winner has been rated at least 98
The LAST RACE
60 runners came from York and none have won and only 5 placed
14/16 came from a Cl2 or 3 race
20 runners came from a Group 2 or 3 race and none have won, just 2 placed
10/16 finished in the top 4 the remaining 6 winners finished 10th to 13th
0/16 finished 5th to 8th last time out
OTHER FACTORS
15/16 had won at least 2 races in their careers
16/16 finished in the top 4 in at least 1 of their last 5 races
16/16 raced at least twice in the last 90 days
SUMMARY
We are looking for a horse aged 4 to 6, who has won at least 2 races, that has at least one top 4 finish in their last 5 runs and has odds between 10/1 to 20/1 . They should not have last run in a Group 2 or 3 race where they finished in the Top 4.
Qualifying horses that fit the trends….
Too many really so worth narrowing them down to the live contenders
| Ayr Gold Cup | 15:50:00 | Ayr | Gabriels Lad (IRE) |
| Ayr Gold Cup | 15:50:00 | Ayr | Highland Colori (IRE) |
| Ayr Gold Cup | 15:50:00 | Ayr | Hoof It |
| Ayr Gold Cup | 15:50:00 | Ayr | Khubala (IRE) |
| Ayr Gold Cup | 15:50:00 | Ayr | Lightning Cloud (IRE) |
| Ayr Gold Cup | 15:50:00 | Ayr | Spinatrix |
| Ayr Gold Cup | 15:50:00 | Ayr | Tropics (USA) |
| 2:05 | AYR | William Hill – Bet On The Move Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f CH4 |
|---|
DOONSIDE CUP
16/16 priced 12/1 or less
13/16 priced 4/1 or less
13/16 from Top 2 in the market
7 winning favourites for a loss of -£1.97
TRAINER
Saeed Bin Suroor has won the race 3 times from 9 runners with another 2 placed
AGE
16/16 aged 3 to 6
WEIGHT/OR
16/16 either top rated or within 10lbs
14/16 rated 98 or more
11/16 rated 109 or more
Only 9 horses rated 114 or more have run and 5 have won with another 2 placed
LAST RACE
15/16 finished in the first 5
2/16 ran in a handicap race
OTHER FACTORS
13/16 had won at least 1 race in their last 3 races
15/16 had run at 1 to 3 times in the last 90 days
9/16 had exactly one win at the distance from just 18 runners with another 3 placed
SUMMARY
I would look at the top 2 in the betting, that have run 1 to 3 times in the last 90 days. I would also be wanting a horse that was top rated or within 10lbs. Then look at those that have won at the distance just the once if you need to choose.
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