Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 2.3.2013)
February 28, 2013 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races each Saturday.
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                        TV raced trends for Saturday 2.3.2013
| 2:55 | DON | William Hill Grimthorpe Chase (Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f CH4 |
|---|
GRIMTHORPE CHASE
ODDS
11/12 priced 6/1 or less from 42 runners
1/12 priced 13/2 or above from 61 runners
FAVOURITES
2 winning favourites for a loss of -£6.75
AGE
12/12 aged 6 to 11
WEIGHT/OR
Those rated 11lbs or lower than the top rated have won 10/12 from 70 runners compared to the rest who have won 2/12 from 33 runners so that tells you that
10/12 rated 131 or lower
10/12 carried 10st 11lbs or less
LAST RACE
12/12 finished in the first 4
11/12 started at 8/1 or less from 57 runners compared to 1/12 from 46 runners for those above 8/1
OTHER FACTORS
12/12 had finished in the first 3 in at least one of their last 3 starts from 83 runners, compared to 0/12 from 20 runners for the rest
12/12 were either (GB) or (IRE) bred from 81 runners compared to 0/12 from 22 runners for the rest
9/12 had run at least twice in the last 90 days from 60 runners (15%) compared to 3/13 from 43 for those that had run 0-1 (7%)
SUMMARY
Some decent stats here where it was surprising to find that in a competitive handicap such as this is dominated by the top of the market. This means we should be looking for a horse priced at 6/1 or less, that also started it’s last race at 8/1 or less and finished in the 1st 4. Weight also plays a factor and we should be looking at those carrying 11 stone or less
| 3:50 | NBY | StanJames Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 Cl1 2m4fCH4 |
|---|
NEWBURY GOLD CUP HANDICAP CHASE (9 races but 1 dead heat so 10 winners)
ODDS
Various odds winning up to 22/1
8/10 priced 12/1 or less
FAVOURITES
3 winning favourites for a profit of +£3.33
TRAINER
Paul Nicholls has won the race 5 times from 19 runners with another 2 placed
AGE
9/10 aged 6 to 8 from 54 runners
1/10 aged 9 to 13 from 63 runners
WEIGHT
No top weight has yet to win
LAST RACE
10/10 raced in a chase
0/10 raced in a Grade 1 from 8 runners, none placed either
OTHER FACTORS
10/10 had run at least twice in the last 90 days
9/10 were (FR) or (IRE) bred
6/10 from 35 runners had won at the track before compared to 4/10 from 76 runners
SUMMARY
We need a horse that is aged 6 to 8, that has run at least twice in the last 90 days.   If what we are left with is one trained by Paul Nicholls all the better or failing that a win at the track would be a bonus.
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