Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For CH4 Races (Saturday 4.8.2012)
August 3, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Horse Racing, Recent Articles
The following FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing) and Jonathan Burgess. The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday. (Refer to our comments for potential bet strategies) We have also provided strategic bet placement advice.
Backing or Dutching
Following these bet placement approaches you`ll either be risking one point or split staking, ultimately there’s less risk than when laying! You can use this dutching calculator to work out your stakes here. Read our tutorial on how to use Dutching to make regular profits here
Odds & Liability When laying
Obviously nobody wants to take unnecessary risks. However with Graded & Listed races being so competitive it often means the favourites go off at bigger odds, although the amount of mug money being thrown into the market means we can often obtain value lays on an over bet favourites. Use the liability function on your Betfair bet slip, if your not sure how to do this, here`s a tutorial.
Alternatively, Â if you manage to get value on your lay bet before the race starts you can minimise the risk by backing the horse in play for bigger odds.
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You can even test out the tipster services, Laying or Backing systems or your own strategies by using the fantastic simulation mode, which works exactly as normal but doesn`t actually place the bets, so you can see how successful the strategy is, with out risking a penny!
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2:05 GOO Get Your Bet On At bluesq.com Stewards´ Sprint Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4
SUPER SPRINT STAKES
ODDS
11/13 priced 12/1 or less
FAVOURITES
4 wining favourites for a loss of -£0.25
AGE
13/13 aged 4 to 8
TRAINERS
Dandy Nicholls gives this a good go with 75 runners, producing 5 winners & 16 more placed
WEIGHT
13/13 carried 8st 6lb or above
LAST RACE
31 runners came from Ascot and none have won and only 2 placed
20 runners came from Pontefract and none have won and only 2 placed
14/14 did not race in a Class 5 or 6 race
OTHER FACTORS
All winners drawn stall 22 or lower
13/13 had at least 11 times over today’s distance
13/13 had won at least 2 races
12/13 had won at least 2 races at today’s distance
3:55 GOO Blue Square Bet Stewards´ Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4
STEWARDS CUP
ODDS
12/14 priced 20/1 or less
7/14 have been won by the 1st two in the market for a profit of +£15.50
FAVOURITES
4 winning favourites for a profit of +£10.50
TRAINERS
Dandy Nicholls sends lots of runners for this race, 55 in total and has had 3 winners and another 10 placed
Roger Charlton has had 2 winners from just 8 runners
Richard Hannon has had 15 runners and has yet to have a place
Kevin Ryan has had 19 runners, no winners but 2 placed
AGE
14/14 aged 3 to 6
WEIGHT/OR
12/14 rated 91 to 102
LAST RACE
Class 2 races last time appear best with 11 winners coming from 225 runners, with 2 from Class 3 from 98 runners and also zero winners from Class 4 from just 12 runners though
All 27 runners that ran in a Group race last time have lost, 1 winner from a Listed race from 24 runners
14/14 ran within the last 60 days
OTHER FACTORS
14/14 had run at least twice in the last 90 days
14/14 had run at least 3 times over the distance
14/14 had run at least twice in today’s class
14/14 had won at today’s distance
Perhaps surprisingly 14/14 had NOT won at the track before, the 71 that had won at Goodwood before all lost with 8 placing
10/14 had won at least once in their last 3 runs
Only 1 winner has worn any kind of head gear
3:15 GOO Markel Insurance Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f192y CH4
NASSAU STAKES
ODDS
14/14 priced at 5/1 or less
14/14 came from the 1st three in the market
FAVOURTIES
9 winning favourites for a profit of +£9.06
TRAINER
Sir Henry Cecil has won the race for the last 3 years with the same horse though in Midday
Aiden O’Brien has won the race twice from just 9 runners with another 2 placed
AGE
14/14 aged 3 to 5
LAST RACE
6 winners last raced at the Curragh from 28 runners with another 6 placed
14/14 started at odds of 8/1 or less
11/14 raced in a Group 1 race
OTHER FACTORS
14/14 had won at least 1 of their last 3 races
11/14 had won in this class of race before
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