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Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For CH4 Races (Saturday 29.9.2012)

September 28, 2012 by  
Filed under Recent Articles

Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday.

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Race trends (Saturday 15.9.2012)

 

2:25

NEWMARKET Jaguar Cars Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

CHEVELEY PARK STAKES

ODDS

12/14 priced at 6/1 or less

12/14 were in the first 3 in the market

FAVOURITES

6 winning favourites for a profit of +£7.04

TRAINER

Jeremy Noseda has had 2 winners from just 5 runners with another one placed

Mick Channon has had 1 winner from 8 runners with another 3 placed

Aiden O’Brien has had 10 runners without a winner, 2 were placed though

LAST RACE

0/14 ran over 5 furlongs

11/14 won their last race or were beaten less than a head

DRAW

11/14 were drawn in stalls 1-6

OTHER FACTORS

Horses that have 1 career win are 1/52 in this race, better off siding with those that have won 2 or 3 in their career

12/14 had won at the distance

SUMMARY

The market seems to dominate here so we should be looking seriously at the front 3 in the market, where the horse is drawn in stalls 1to 6, did not run over 5 furlongs in its last race and has preferably won 2 or 3 times in its career.  If one of the qualifiers is trained by Jeremy Noseda all the better

 

3:00

NEWMARKET Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m CH4

SUN CHARIOT STAKES

ODDS
14/14 priced at 20/1 or less

FAVOURITES

4 winning favourites for a loss of -£3.24

TRAINER

Sir Henry Cecil has had 7 runners but has yet to have the winner, though 2 have placed
AGE

Before Saphresa winning the last 3 runnings of the race, 3 yr olds have a good record winning 10

LAST RACE

0/14 ran in a handicap

13/14 ran in a group or listed race

13/14 finished in the 1st four
11/14 were priced at less than 6/1

10/14 ran in the last 45 days

OTHER FACTORS
12/14 had won at least 1 of their last 3 runs

10/14 had run in this class of race before

SUMMARY

A pretty open race but to help narrow it down, we are looking for a horse that in its last race finished in the 1st four in a group or listed race and that had won at least 1 of their last 3 races.

 

3:40

NWM Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4

CAMBRIDGESHIRE

ODDS

Very competitive so odds all over the place but out of 10 runners that were priced 6/1 or less, 4 have won, giving you a profit of +£14.00

FAVOURITES

3 winning favourites for a loss of -£3.00
TRAINER

Mark Johnston has had 14 runners without a winner – 2 placed

Richard Fahey has had 12 runners without a winner 1 placed

John Gosden, Sir Mark Prescott & David Elsworth have all won the race twice
AGE

14/14 aged 3 to 6
WEIGHT

No winner has carried more than 9st 5lbs

13/14 rated between 87 to 102

LAST RACE

No winners ran on the All Weather

No winners ran in a Class 1 race

12/14 were placed 1st or were beaten less 4 lengths or less

OTHER FACTORS
10 winners had won at least 1 of their last 3 races

14/14 had run in this class of race before

SUMMARY

A really competitive race but to help narrow it down we are looking for a horse aged 3 to 6 with an official rating between 87 to 102, that either won its last race or was beaten 4 lengths or less and is carrying less than 9st 5lbs

Jonathan Burgess

Jonathan Burgess is an official Betfair Accredited Trainer and racing columnist for various respected betting industry publications such as: Betting School, The Daily Punt and Betfair’s Education site. He also runs the Profitable – False Favourites Betting Tips Club. You can contact him here


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