Free Betting Tips And Race Trends For Saturday’s CH4 Races (22.09.2012)
September 21, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday.
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| AYR | William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl3 6f CH4 |
AYR SILVER CUP
ODDS
All over as would be expected for this handicap but the 1st 4 in the market have won the race 9/14 for a profit of +£32.75
FAVOURITES
2 winning favourites for a loss of -£5.25
TRAINER
Dandy Nicholls has had 49 runners producing 4 winners and a further 6 placed
Kevin Ryan has had 22 runners and had NO winners (4 placed)
AGE
13/14 aged 3, 4 or 5
WEIGHT
The top two in the weights have yet to win from 41 runners with just the 2 placed
13/14 carried 8st 11lbs or more
DRAW
Stalls 8 to 14 yet to produce a winner so not stuck in the middle would appear best
LAST RACE
14/14 started at odds of 20/1 or less – 57 started above this, producing NO winners and just 4 placed
14/14 ran in a Class 2,3 or 4 race
38 runners raced at Goodwood and none have won, just the 3 placed
OTHER FACTORS
31 horses have worn blinkers- NO winners and just the one placed
13/14 have finished in the 1st five in at least 1 of their last 3 races
13/14 had NOT won in this class of race before
SUMMARY
A wide open race but to narrow it down perhaps look at horses aged 3 to 5 that are in the 1st four in the betting market and are drawn either high or low and are not in the top 2 in the weights
| NEW | Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y CH4 |
MILL REEF STAKES
ODDS
14/14 priced at 12/1 or less
9/14 priced 4/1 or less
FAVOURTIES
5 winning favourites for a profit of +£1.30
TRAINERS
Channon, Hannon & Johnston have 2 winners each
Brian Meehan has had 11 runners without a winner but has had 5 placed
LAST RACE
4 winners last raced at Doncaster from 25 runners with another 5 placed
4 winners last raced at York from 26 runners with another 2 placed
2 winners last raced at Ascot from just 3 runners
10/14 last raced in a Class 1 race
OTHER FACTORS
14/14 had finished in the top 2 in at least 1 of their last 3 starts
SUMMARY
Not a great race for trends, but concentrate on horses priced 4/1 or less, that preferably ran at Doncaster, York or Ascot
| AYR | William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4 |
AYR GOLD CUP
ODDS
30 horses have started at 8/1 or shorter and all have LOST, though 10 did place
FAVOURITES
As the above would suggest NO winning favourites in the last 14 races
TRAINER
DANDY NICHOLLS has had 56 runners producing 6 winners with a further 5 placed
Jim Goldie has had 18 runners and has yet to have any placed
AGE
14/14 aged 3 to 6,
11/14 aged 4 or 5
WEIGHT
12/14 had an OR of 100 or less
Top weight and those within 2lbs have produced NO winners from 38 runners
DRAW
Stalls 25-29 have produced NO winners from 56 runners with just 3 placed
LAST RACE
55 runners came from York and NONE have won (5 placed)
13/14 ran in a Class 2 or 3 race. 70 runners coming from a Class 1 race have produced 1 winner, that winner came from a Group 1 race
9/14 ran 6 to 15 days ago
SUMMARY
Again wide open where we should be looking for some value backing against the favoured horses by looking for a horse aged 4 or 5 that has an official rating of 100 or less but apart from that pretty hard to narrow down
| NEW | Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y CH4 |
WORLD TROPHY
ODDS
Various
FAVOURITES
2 winning favourites for a loss of -£7.75
TRAINERS
Nothing much to go on
DRAW
Stalls 1-4 have produced no winners in the last 14 runs
LAST RACE
4 winners last raced at the Curragh from 11 runners with 1 more placed
4 winners last raced at Doncaster from 54 runners with 13 more placed
14/14 raced within the last 60 days
12/14 won or were beaten 3 lengths or less
SUMMARY
Not much to go on but look closely at horses that ran within the last 60 days, that were beaten less than 3 lengths and raced at the Curragh and are not drawn low
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