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Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 4.5.2013)

May 3, 2013 by  
Filed under Recent Articles

Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races  each Saturday.

 

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TV raced trends for Saturday 4.5.2013

 

2:35 NMK Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f CH4

PALACE HOUSE STAKES

ODDS

Various so no help there however there have been 5 winning FAVOURTIES for a loss of –£2.24

TRAINER

B. Smart, H. Candy & BA MCMahon have each had 2 winners, so 6 between them from just 12 runners

AGE
13/16 aged 3 to 5

DRAW

Stalls 2,3 & 4 out perform winning 6 races

WEIGHT/OR

14/16 won by the top rated or those within 10 of the top

LAST RACE
15/16 ran in a NON-Handicap race

10/16 finished first, from 8 runners providing a profit of £15.13

14/16 either won or finished within 2 lengths of the winner

OTHER FACTORS
13/16 had won at least once in their last 3 runs

SUMMARY

A wide open sprint but to narrow it down we should be looking for a horse that is aged 3 to 5 that has won 1 of it’s last 3 races, that last raced in a non handicap race and either won or was beaten by less than 2 lengths and is today either top rated or within 10.

Horse that fits the stats – SPIRIT QUARTZ

 

3:10 NMK Qatar Bloodstock Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f CH4

JOCKEY CLUB STAKES

ODDS

16/16 priced 12/1 or less with 7 WINNING FAVOURITES for a profit of +£4.41

11/16 from the top 2 in the market

AGE

16/16 aged 4 or 5

TRAINER

Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 3 times from 13 runners with another 3 placed

Sir Henry Cecil has had 9 runners but no winners yet

WEIGHT/OR

Those with a rating are all either top rated or within 10

LAST RACE

3 NO RUNS on HRB site so these from 13 races due to Andre Fabre’s French raiders winning and French races are not on the database

12/13 finished in the 1st three

13/13 priced at 6/1 or less

SUMMARY

I would be looking for horses that are aged 4 or 5, that in their last race finished in the 1st three at a price of 6/1 or less.  Favourites do have a good record too.

 Horse that fits the stats– NOBLE MISSION

 

Jonathan Burgess

Jonathan Burgess is an official Betfair Accredited Trainer and racing columnist for various respected betting industry publications such as: Betting School, The Daily Punt and Betfair’s Education site. He also runs the Profitable – False Favourites Betting Tips Club. You can contact him here


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