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Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 19.10.2013)

October 17, 2013 by  
Filed under Recent Articles

Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races  each Saturday.

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Race trends for Saturday 19.10.13

1:45 ASC Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 3) Cl1 2m CH4

CHAMPION SPRINT STAKES

ODDS

15/16 priced 12/1 or less

Just the 3 winning favourites for a loss of -£6.75

AGE
16/16 aged 3, 4 or 5

LAST RACE
14/16 ran in a Group or listed race

15/16 finished in the first 5

16/16 either won or were beaten by less than 5 lengths

OTHER FACTORS

15/16 had finished in the first two in at least 1 of their last 3 runs

16/16 had run at least once in the last 90 days

15/16 had won at least once at today’s distance

SUMMARY

The horse should be aged 3 to 5, have run within the last 90 days and in it’s last race either won or been beaten by less than 5 lengths on either a group or listed contest.  I would also be looking at those with a win at the distance and are today 12/1 or less

 SELECTION WHICH FIT THE TRENDS

Champion Sprint 2013 14:20:00 Ascot Balmont Mast (IRE)
Champion Sprint 2013 14:20:00 Ascot Slade Power (IRE)
Champion Sprint 2013 14:20:00 Ascot Viztoria (IRE)

 

QE II Stakes

3:30 ASC Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (British Champions Mile) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

ODDS

Various but 12/16 at 6/1 or less including 7 winning favourites which produced a small loss of -£0.21

AGE

16/16 aged 3,4 or 5

LAST RACE

9 winners last ran at Goodwood from 37 runners with another 8 placed

16/16 started at odds of 8/1 or less

OTHER FACTORS

Only 1/16 had 11 or more career runs

15/16 had run a Group 1 race before

SUMMARY

Personally I would be looking for a horse 6/1 or less that was aged 3,4 or 5, that last raced at Goodwood with odds of 8/1 or less.  These simple stats have in the past produced the following

Bets

Wins

WinStrike

SP_PL

Places

PlaceStrike

15

6

40.00%

6.11

11

73.33%

An excellent win and place strike rate

SELECTION WHICH FIT THE TRENDS

 QE II Stks 15:30:00 Ascot Dawn Approach (IRE)

Jonathan Burgess

Jonathan Burgess is an official Betfair Accredited Trainer and racing columnist for various respected betting industry publications such as: Betting School, The Daily Punt and Betfair’s Education site. He also runs the Profitable – False Favourites Betting Tips Club. You can contact him here


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