Why It Pays To Follow Seasonal Horse racing Trends
July 18, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Horse Racing, Recent Articles
- Flat turf racing runs from March until October. Read our essential guide to Flat racing here
- National hunt (jumps) racing takes place all year round. The main winter jumps season takes place between (November and March) Read our essential guide jumps racing here
- All-weather racing takes place all year round. The main all-weather winter season runs between December and February
With such a variety of racing on offer throughout the year most punters are left confused and end up applying a scattergun approach to betting, which ultimately means they lose money.
The only way to get around the seasonal issues which makes betting on horses hit and miss is to specialise in one or two particular areas of racing at any given point in the season.
Imagine how targeted you could be with an intimate knowledge of just one kind of racing. That’s is exactly the approach professional betters take.
To put this into perspective the best way losing punters can change their fortunes is by analysing the methods of winners. Winning punters have access to the most important race statistics and only bet when suitable opportunities arise.
If you want to make consistent profits you need to stick with the proven trends and go with the probabilities not the possibilities.
To illustrate the point below we`ll look at the monthly patterns the flat racing season follows;
Early-Season
(the amount of races taking place is relatively low)
March – the season starts and many horses are having their first run since last season
April – this is when debutants and maiden horses start to be raced
May – the volume of racing increases
Mid-Season
June, July and August – this is when ground conditions are usually ideal and the majority of flat racing takes place each season.
From July nursery`s for two-year-old horses take place, these are basically handicap races for two-year-olds.
End of season
September – the amount of races contested starts to decrease
October – heavy rains softens the ground and horse form starts to tail off as the going becomes much softer.
November – is a transitional month especially on the all-weather surface, and a good time to take a break from betting, because this seasonal change-over period can destroy profits
December / Jan – this is when the winter all-weather season takes place, and the better quality all-weather horses start to emerge.
As you can see flat turf racing follows distinct patterns. In order to make a profit you must become a race specialist and focus your efforts in one or two specific areas.
For example you may follow:
- a system which focuses on five and six furlong sprint’s early season
- a selection method which focuses on one-mile plus races later on in the season
- a betting system which focuses on laying favourites in specific race types
Ultimately, it’s important to remember – No one has the mental capacity or time to follow every aspect of racing, less is definitely more.
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One Response to “Why It Pays To Follow Seasonal Horse racing Trends”Speak Your Mind
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How very true, if only I had the patience. If you look at the mid-season, for example, at the height of summer, when the ground (usually) tends to ride fast, this is when favorites statistically do best and the form is most ‘reliable’.