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Trends, Statistics And Betting Angles For CH4 Races (Saturday 7.4.2012)

April 7, 2012 by  
Filed under Recent Articles

The following betting advice, statistics and trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing) and Jonathan Burgess. The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday. (Refer to our comments in blue text for potential bet strategies) We have also provided strategic bet placement advice.

Backing or Dutching

Following these bet placement approaches you`ll either be risking one point or split staking, ultimately there’s less risk than when laying! You can use this dutching calculator to work out your stakes here. Read our tutorial on how to use Dutching to make regular profits here

Odds & Liability When laying

Obviously nobody wants to take unnecessary risks. However with Graded & Listed races being so competitive it often means the favourites go off at bigger odds, although the amount of mug money being thrown into the market means we can often obtain value lays on an over bet favourites. Use the liability function on your Betfair bet slip, if your not sure how to do this,  here`s a tutorial.

Alternatively,  if you manage to get value of your lay bet before the race starts you can minimise the risk by backing the horse in play for bigger odds

Get a FREE bet here

The Race-Specialist Pro Lay Betting system is now only… £26.99 was (£39.99)

 

2:40 KEMPTON Betfred Mobile Sports Snowdrop Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

ODDS – 8/8 14/1 or less

FAVOURITES

3 winning favourites for a loss of -£1.20

TRAINERS – NO ANGLE

AGE

8/8 aged 4 or 5

7/8 aged 4

WEIGHT

Those with an official OR were rated at 94 and above

LAST RACE

7/8 ran on turf last time out on the flat

2 winners last ran at Ascot with a further 2 placed from just 7 runners

2 winners last ran at Newmarket (Rowley)  with a further 2 placed from just 6 runners

7/8 ran in a Class 1 race

8/8 ran at a distance of at least one mile

OTHER FACTORS

7/8 had been placed first or second in at least one of their last 3 races

0/8 had run in the last 90 days

8/8 had run between 4 and 8 times in the last year

BET ADVICE:

Horses to focus on are; Sooraah,  Law Of The Range, and Night Lily. We recommend placing a DUTCH bet on these runners.

 

3:15 KEMPTON Betfred Bonus King Queen´s Prize (Handicap) Cl2 2m CH4

This race has only been run on the All Weather for the last 6 years and the stats are from those 6 races

ODDS – 4/6 priced between 5/2 to 4/1

FAVOURITES

4 of the last 10 runnings were won by the favourite

TRAINERS – Look out for Gary Moore runners as he’s had 3 placed runners & 1 winner from 7 runners

AGE  for some reason 5 yr olds are 0/12 with only 2 placed by far the worst age, but could just be a blip with a small sample size

WEIGHT All carried 8 stone 13lbs or more

LAST RACE

6/6 finished in the first 6

OTHER FACTORS

5/6 had won on the going (i.e. all weather)

BET ADVICE:

Horses to focus on are; Right Stuff,  Rasheed,  Thimaar and Gulf of Naples. With the current odds being fairly generous a DUTCH bet on these 4 horses seems a wise move.

 

 

Jonathan Burgess

Jonathan Burgess is an official Betfair Accredited Trainer and racing columnist for various respected betting industry publications such as: Betting School, The Daily Punt and Betfair’s Education site. He also runs the Profitable – False Favourites Betting Tips Club. You can contact him here


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