Trends, Statistics And Betting Angles For CH4 Races (Saturday 19.5.2012)
May 18, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Backing or Dutching
Following these bet placement approaches you`ll either be risking one point or split staking, ultimately there’s less risk than when laying! You can use this dutching calculator to work out your stakes here. Read our tutorial on how to use Dutching to make regular profits here
Odds & Liability When laying
Obviously nobody wants to take unnecessary risks. However with Graded & Listed races being so competitive it often means the favourites go off at bigger odds, although the amount of mug money being thrown into the market means we can often obtain value lays on an over bet favourites. Use the liability function on your Betfair bet slip, if your not sure how to do this, here`s a tutorial.
Alternatively, Â if you manage to get value of your lay bet before the race starts you can minimise the risk by backing the horse in play for bigger odds.
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| 2:00 | NEWBURY | JLT Aston Park Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m5f61y CH4 |
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ASTON PARK STAKES – 15 races
ODDS
15/15 priced at 8/1 or less
13/15 from the 1st three in the market. Potential Dutch bet angles
Result 2nd favourite WON
FAVOURITES
Just 3 winning favourites for a loss of -£8.50
AGE
10 winners aged 4
TRAINER
Sir Henry Cecil has won the race twice from 8 runners with another 2 placed
Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 3 times from just 6 runners but no runners today
WEIGHT
All those with a rating were rated at least 102
LAST RACE
15/15 last raced on the flat
5 winners last raced at Newmarket from 26 runners with a further 4 placed
2 winners last raced at Doncaster from 7 runners with 1 placed
2 winners last raced at Newbury from 8 runners
2 winners last raced at Chester from 12 runners with a further 3 placed
11/15 were priced at 6/1 or less last time out
13 runners have come from a Class 2 race and so far just the 1 placed
OTHER FACTORS
12/15 Irish bred
| 2:15 | NEWMARKET | poptelecom.co.uk Fairway Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f CH4 |
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FAIRWAY STAKES – 14 races
ODDS
13/14 priced 6/1 or less
13/14 came from the first 3 in the market giving you a profit of +£5.23. Potential Dutch bet angles
Joint Fav Won
FAVOURTIES
5 winning favourites for a loss of -£4.10
TRAINER
Henry Cecil has won the race twice from 9 runners with another 2 placed HENRY CECIL`s NOBLE MISSION came 2nd
John Gosden has won the race once from 6 runners with another 2 placed
Result …THOUGHT WORTHY WON – J.GOSDEN runner
LAST RACE
14/14 ran 11 to 45 days ago
2 winners last raced at Newbury from 4 runners with another one placed
2 winners last raced at York from 9 runners with another 2 placed
2 winners last raced at Chester from 9 runners with another 2 placed
2 winners last raced at Kempton from 5 runners
3 winners last raced at Newmarket from 20 runners with another 3 placed
OTHER FACTORS
Only 1 GB bred winner from 27 runners
13/14 had won at least once in their last 3 runs
14/14 had run at least once in the last 90 days
| 2:45 | NEWMARKET | coralchampionsclub.co.uk Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4 |
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CORAL SPRINT – 15 races
ODDS
14/15 priced 20/1 or less
11/15 winners from the 1st five in the market FAV WON
FAVOURITES
2 winning favourites from 19 favs/co-favs for a loss of -£12.90
TRAINER
Wins spread about a bit but
Roger Charlton has had4 runners , 1 winner & 1 placed His runner MINCE WON
Richard Hannon has had 12 runners and only got 1 placed
Mark Johnston has had 10 runners with not even 1 placed
WEIGHT
11/15 rated 91 or higher
10/15 were from the top 5 in the weights
LAST RACE
15/15 ran over 6 or 7 furlongs, in fact 14 of them ran over 6 furlongs
14/15 finished in the first 7 last time out
14/15 ran in the last 6 to 60 days
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had no sort of head gear
15/15 had run at least twice at this distance
14/15 finished in the first 2 in at least one of their last 3 runs
13/15 had won at the distance
12/15 had run at least twice in the last 90 days
| 3:40 | NEWBURY | JLT Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4 |
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LOCKINGE – 15 races
ODDS
10/15 priced at 4/1 or less. Only 26 runners produce a profit of +£5.65
11/15 from the top 2 in the market +£6.65 so even better. Potential Dutch bet angles TOP TWO IN THE MAREKT 1st and 2nd
FAVOURITES
7 winning favourites for a profit of +£3.90 FAV FRANKEL WON
TRAINER
Saeed Bin Suroor has won the race 4 times from 15 runners (profit of +£21.62) with a further 3 placed
Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 3 times from 11 runners
Richard Hannon has won the race twice (last 2) from 11 runners with one more placed
Sir Henry Cecil has had 5 runners no winners as yet but has had 4 placed HIS RUNNER FRANKEL WON
AGE
15/15 aged 4 to 6
LAST RACE
5 winners last raced at Ascot from 20 runners with a further 2 placed
4 winners last raced at Newmarket from 25 runners with a further 5 placed
3 winners last raced at Goodwood from 12 runners with a further 3 placed
3 winners last raced at Sandown from 33 runners with a further 5 placed
12/15 started at odds of 6/1 or less last time out
14/15 last raced over a distance of at least 1 mile
9/15 last raced in a Group 1 race
15/15 finished in the first 6 last time out
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had run at least once at the distance
13/15 finished 1st in at least one of there last 3 races
12/15 had not run in the last 90 days
12/15 had won at least once at the distance
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