Trends, Statistics And Betting Angles For CH4 Races (Saturday 14.7.2012)

The following FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing) and Jonathan Burgess. The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday. (Refer to our comments for potential bet strategies) We have also provided strategic bet placement advice.

Backing or Dutching

Following these bet placement approaches you`ll either be risking one point or split staking, ultimately there’s less risk than when laying! You can use this dutching calculator to work out your stakes here. Read our tutorial on how to use Dutching to make regular profits here

Odds & Liability When laying

Obviously nobody wants to take unnecessary risks. However with Graded & Listed races being so competitive it often means the favourites go off at bigger odds, although the amount of mug money being thrown into the market means we can often obtain value lays on an over bet favourites. Use the liability function on your Betfair bet slip, if your not sure how to do this,  here`s a tutorial.

Alternatively,  if you manage to get value on your lay bet before the race starts you can minimise the risk by backing the horse in play for bigger odds.

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You can even test out the tipster services, Laying or Backing systems or your own strategies by using the fantastic simulation mode, which works exactly as normal but doesn`t actually place the bets, so you can see how successful the strategy is, with out risking a penny!

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2:10 NWJ 32Red.com Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

SUPERLATIVE STAKES

ODDS

Various though 15/15 from the 1^st seven in the betting market

FAVOURTIES

6 winning favourites for a loss of -£1.59
TRAINER

Richard Hannon has won he race 3 times from 11 runners with another 2 placed

Henry Cecil has won the race twice from just the 2 runners

Also, 2 wins for Aiden O’Brien (9 runners, 2 more placed) & Mick Channon (10 runners, 2 more placed)

LAST RACE

3 winners last raced at Ascot from 30 runners with another 7 placed

2 winners last raced at the Curragh from just 4 runners

2 winners last raced at Goodwood from 6 runners with another 1 placed

12/15 were priced at 4/1 or less

 

2:25 YOR John Smith´s Silver Cup (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f CH4

YORK SILVER CUP

ODDS

13/15 priced at 12/1 or less

FAVOURTIES

6 winning favourites for a profit of +£5.69

TRAINER

Michael Bell has had 2 winners from just 3 runners with the other one placed
AGE

15/15 aged 3 to 6

WEIGHT

15/15 carried between 8st 7lbs to 9st 9lbs

LAST RACE

4 winners last raced at Newcastle from 34 runners with a further 9 placed

3 winners last raced at Ascot from 22 runners with a further 5 placed

0 winners from Haydock from 15 runners and only 1 placed

15/15 raced 6 to 60 days ago

12/15 raced in a handicap

 

OTHER FACTORS

14/15 had run 1 to 3 tines in the last 90 days

 

2:40 NWJ 32Red Bunbury Cup (Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

BUNBURY CUP

ODDS

14/15 priced at 20/1 or less, in fact 10/15 priced 17/2 to 20/1

FAVOURITES

4 winning favourites for a profit of +£4.50
TRAINERS

No real angles on the stats

WEIGHT/OR

15/15rated 86 or more

Keep an eye on the top rated 3 winners from 22 runners with another 4 placed

LAST RACE

6 winners last raced at Ascot though it was from a huge 120 runners with another 21 placed

3 winners last raced at Newcastle from 33 runners with another 5 placed

0 winners have come from Newmarket (july0 from 27 runners, though 7 have placed

0 winners from HAydock from 12 runners and none placed either

0 winners from Goodwood from 10 runners, 1 placed

15/15 were priced at 20/1 or less

15/15 raced 6 to 45 days ago

14/15 either won or were beaten less than 10 lengths

OTHER FACTORS

15/15 had run at least twice in the last 90 days

15/15 had run at least twice at the distance

14/15 had won at the distance

13/15 had finished in the 1^st three in at least one of their last 3 runs

 

3:00 YOR 53rd John Smith´s Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

JOHN SMITH’S CUP

ODDS

14/15 priced 20/1 or less

FAVOURITES

3 winning favs for a loss of -£4.50

TRAINERS

Richard Fahey has had 3 winners from 29 runners with another 3 placed

Sir Mark Prescott has had 2 winners from just 6 runners with another 2 placed

WEIGHT

15/15 carried 8st 2lbs to 9st 9lbs

14/15 rated 85 to 101

11/15 rated within 1-10lbs of the top weight from 117 runners, the rest 4/170

AGE

15/15 aged 3 to 5

13/15 aged 3 or 4

LAST RACE

11/15 raced over 1m 2 furlongs or 1 mile 2 ½ furlongs, no winners ran over further than this

13/15 either won or were beaten 4 lengths or less

OTHER FACTORS

15/15 had run no more than 4 times in the last 90 days

14/15 had finished in the 1^st two in at least 1 of their last 3 races

 

3:20 NWJ Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1)

DARLEY JULY CUP

ODDS
12/15 priced 12/1 or less

FAVOURITES

5 winning favourites for a profit of +£4.50

TRAINER

Aiden O’Brien has won the race 3 times from 17 runners with another 1 placed

Roger Charlton has had 6 runners, no winners but 3 placed

AGE

15/15 aged 3 to 6

LAST RACE

12 winners last raced at Ascot though so did most of the runners, 144 of them.  A further 23 placed

0 winners or placed horses from 17 runners last raced at Newcastle

15/15 ran in a group or listed race

15/15 raced 16 to 45 days ago

14/15 either won or were beaten by 10 lengths or less

OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had been placed either 1^st or 2^nd at least once in their last 3 runs

15/15 had run at least once in the last 90 days

 

 

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