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Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 19.1.2013) TV Races

January 17, 2013 by  
Filed under Recent Articles

Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races  each Saturday.

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TV raced trends for Saturday 19.1.2013

3:15 HAY Peter Marsh Chase (Limited Handicap) Grade 2 Cl1 3m CH4

PETER MARSH CHASE

ODDS
All over the place

FAVOURITES
Just the one winner from 13 runnings of the race for a loss of -£9.75 including 2 odds on shots getting beat

TRAINERS
Nigel Twiston-Davies had had 9 runners and not one has placed

Sue Smith has had 2 winners from just 7 runners ( 2 more placed)

Venetia Williams has had 2 winners from 6 runners (1 more placed)

David Pipe has had just the 2 runners, 1 winner and 1 placed

AGE

13/13 aged 8 to 12.  15 horses aged 7 or less have all lost with 3 placed

WEIGHT

Top weight have only won twice but a further 6 have placed so 8 have placed from 15 runners so a decent record

LAST RACE

6 winners last raced at Wetherby from 20 runners with another 6 placed

3 winners last raced at Haydock from 13 runners with another 4 placed

All winners raced over at least 3 miles

10 winners raced in either a Listed or Graded race

OTHER FACTORS

Surprisingly perhaps French (FR) breds are only 1/29

Summary

Usually a bit of a slog in the mud at Haydock this time of year and we are looking for a horse aged 8 to 12, that last ran in a listed or grade chase over at least 3 miles, preferably run at Wetherby or Haydock.  In fact if we run just those 3 criteria through the excellent www.horseracebase.com race trends we get

Bets

Wins

WinStrike

SP_PL

Places

PlaceStrike

13

7

53.85%

34.75

9

69.23%

 

3:00 ASC BetVictor.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y CH4

ASCOT – 2m 5f HCAP CHASE

ODDS

11/12 from the first 4 in the betting

10/12 priced 8/1 or less

FAVOURITES

3 winning favourites for a loss of -£3.80

AGE

12/12 aged 10 or less

WEIGHT/OR

12/12 rated 143 or less

LAST RACE

8/12 finished in the first 3

5/12 ran in a non handicap race from 20 runners compared to 7/12 from 89 runners that ran in a handicap

SUMMARY

We are looking for a horse in the 1st four in the betting that is aged 10 or less and has a rating of 143 or less that preferably finished in the first 3, last time out.  Also look closely at those that did not run in a handicap last time out.

Jonathan Burgess

Jonathan Burgess is an official Betfair Accredited Trainer and racing columnist for various respected betting industry publications such as: Betting School, The Daily Punt and Betfair’s Education site. He also runs the Profitable – False Favourites Betting Tips Club. You can contact him here


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Comments

2 Responses to “Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 19.1.2013) TV Races”
  1. easwaran,India says:

    my dear Jonathan,
    greetings from india, a request to you why and how betfair charging this premium 20% charges to the winner, can you enlighten please
    or any link for this clarity
    will much appreciate
    love
    easwaran
    india

  2. whiskyd says:

    Can you please tell me ,when we join up you send the daily tips only.Im interested in the laying side and want to know are they sent daily ie the ones at up to but not including 4.0.I remember reading about your book and i understood it was read and find your own lays.Am I mistaken I am doing very well with laying and some sels if the price is high I may place lay instead Ive also greened up on some sels it was the right thing to do .I am interested in adding another lay system and you have had good right ups.My own sels over the last 105 resulted in 6 non runners 6 won but 3 were greened up and the rest duly lost.Im hoping to keep up a decent strike rate and like the look of your system. Thanks Whiskyd

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