Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 1.12.2012) TV Races
November 30, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races each Saturday.
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HENNESSY GOLD CUP
ODDS
The 1st two in the betting market have produced 9 winners for a profit +£14.25, 17 have also been placed
FAVOURTIES
5 winners fro a profit of £5.75
TRAINERS
Not much to go on but Paul Nicholls has won the race 3 times from 29 runners with another 6 placed
Nicky Henderson has had only 1 winner from 13 runners but another 5 have placed
AGE
15/15 aged 6 to 9
WEIGHT/OR
15/15 rated 136 or above
14/15 from the top 9 in the weights
LAST RACE
15/15 last raced in the UK
0 winners from 30 runners last raced in a listed event, only 3 placed too
14/15 finished in the 1st three last time out or pulled up or fell
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had won at least 2 chase races
14/15 had either run once in the last 90 days or not at all
SUMMARY
On paper this looks a wide open handicap but the stats say that the best place to start is to look at the first 2 in the betting, particularly if you can get an each way price. Other factors we want on our side is for the horse to be aged 6 to 9, that finished in the first three last time put, in a race that was not a listed race or in Ireland.
FIGHTING FIFTH HURDLE
ODDS
11/15 priced at 9/4 or less
FAVOURITES
9 winners for a profit of +£3.82
TRAINERS
Donald McCain has won the race twice from 2 runners
Nicky Henderson has won the race twice from 6 runners with another 2 placed
AGE
15/15 aged 5 to 9
LAST RACE
14/15 finished in the first 3
10/15 ran in a grade 1,2 or 3 race from 43 runners compared to 5/15 winners from 59 runners that did not run in a grade race. 3 of the other winners that did not contest a grade race, ran on the flat or all weather last time out.
OTHER FACTORS
14/15 had won at least once in their last 3 races
14/15 had won at least 2 hurdle races
SUMMARY
We are looking for a horse priced 9/4 or less that is aged 5 to 9
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