Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For CH4 Races (Saturday 15.9.2012)
September 14, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday.
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Race trends (Saturday 15.9.2012)
| 2:25 | DON | One Call Insurance Champagne Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f CH4 |
|---|
CHAMPAGNE STAKES
ODDS
13/14 priced at 8/1 or less
FAVOURITES
4 winning favourites for a loss of -£7.39
TRAINERS
Saeed Bin Suroor has had just the 3 runners but 2 have won and a the other 1 placed
Aiden O’Brien has had the most runners with 13 but won it just the once with another 4 placed
LAST RACE
14/14 started their last race at odds of 8/1 or less
Look closely at Irish raiders who last raced at the Curragh, just 5 runners have produced 2 winners with another 2 placed
OTHER FACTORS
14/14 had won at least one of their last 3 races
10/14 had won at the distance before
SUMMARY
Look for a runner priced 8/1 or less who was also 8/1 or less on their last run and has won at least 1 of their last 3 runs. Look closely at Saeed Bin Surror runners
| DON | Ladbrokes Portland (Handicap) Cl2 5f140y CH4 |
PORTLAND HANDICAP
ODDS
14/14 priced at 20/1 or less
FAVOURITES
3 winning favourites for a small loss of -£0.50
TRAINERS
Dandy Nicholls has had 33 runners but has yet to win the race and has had only 2 placed
Kevin Ryan has won the race 3 times from 23 runners with a further 4 placed
LAST RACE
14/14 ran between 6 to 45 days ago
12/14 ran between 11-30 days ago
4 winners from 26 runners last raced at Ripon with a further 7 placed
32 runners came from a listed or group race and all have lost with only 4 placed
OTHER FACTORS
No winners have come from horses drawn in stalls 1 to 4
SUMMARY
A wide open race as would be expected with not much to go on to narrow it down to be honest but concentrate on those with a recent run (11-30 days ago) and look closely at runners that ran at Ripon last time out.
| DON | Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y CH4 |
ST LEGER
ODDS
14/14 priced at 20/1 or less but 9/14 were priced at 4/1 or less
FAVOURITES
Have a good record with 8/14 winning to give a profit of +£7.67
TRAINERS
Several with decent records in this race:-
John Gosden has won the race 3 times from 5 runners
Saeed Bin Suroor has won the race 3 times from 8 runners with another 1 placed
Aiden O’Brien has won the race 3 times from 28 runners with another 4 placed
LAST RACE
14/14 ran over a distance of 1m 4f or 1m 5f, 40 runners raced over further and none have won
14/14 ran in a group race, with only 1 of those coming from a group 1 race
14/14 finished in the 1st three with all winners either winning the race or being beaten by less than 5 lengths
7 winners last raced at York from 57 runners with a further 16 placed
5 winners last raced at Goodwood from 25 runners with a further 2 placed
All 13 runners that last raced in a Handicap have been beaten
OTHER FACTORS
14/14 had finished in the first 2 in at least 1 of their last 3 races
14/14 had run between 1-3 times in the last 90 days
SUMMARY
Some pretty strong trends here, Camelot will be a strong favourite to win this and although favourites have a good record in this race he will make the market for possibly a nice each way wager, especially considering horses coming from a Group 1 races do not have the best of records with only 1 winner from 19 runners.
We should be looking for a horse whose last run was over 1m4f to 1m 5f, that preferably ran at Goodwood or York last time and finished in the first 3 in a group 2 or 3 race.  Also look closely at any John Gosden or Godolphin runners
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