Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 1.6.2013)
May 31, 2013 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races each Saturday.
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TV raced trends for Saturday 1.6.2013
| 3:15 | EPS | Investec Specialist Bank “Dash” (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f CH4 |
|---|
DASH
ODDS
8/16 priced 8/1 or less. 3 favourites hae won for a loss of -£6.25
AGE
Twenty Seven 3 yr olds have tried to win this and not even one placed
16/16 aged 4 to 9 though 6 to 9 yr olds perform best
TRAINER
Dandy Nicholls has won the race 5 times but he does throw a lot of runners at it with 44
WEIGHTS
10/16 have been won by the 1st five in the weights
LAST RACE
27 runners won their last race but none went on to win this
11/16 finished 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th
OTHER FACTORS
15/16 had at least 1 top 3 finish in the last 3 starts
16/16 had run in this class of race before
SUMMARY
We are looking for an experienced sprinter who by the looks of things didn’t win their last race, perhaps the increase up the weights puts paid to their chances. I would also be looking to a horse that did however finish 2nd – 5th last time and is preferably towards the top of the weights and I would also prefer it to be priced 8/1 or less
| 2:05 | EPS | Investec Woodcote Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4 |
|---|
WOODCOTE STAKES
ODDS
12/16 priced 6/1 or less.
13/16 from the first 4 in the market
5 winning favourites for a small loss of -£0.74
TRAINER
Richard Hannon has saddled 19 runners but only won the race once, though another 4 were placed
Mark Johnston had had 3 winners and another 3 placed from just 9 runners so obviously likes this race
DRAW
12/16 drawn in stalls 1 to 5
LAST RACE
16/16 either won or were beaten 4 lengths or less
Horses that last raced in Ireland have a good record with 2 wins from just 5 runners for a profit of +£8.00
OTHER FACTORS
USA Bred horses have won 4 races from just 10 runners
16/16 had run 1 to 3 times in the last 90 days
SUMMARY
Not a great deal to go on but I’d be looking seriously at any Mark Johnston horses that priced at 6/1 or less. Using just those 2 factors would have given you 3 winners and 3 places from 6 runners the 3 winners producing a profit of +£6.88 as below
|
Bets |
Wins |
WinStrike |
SP_PL |
Places |
PlaceStrike |
Races |
RaceStrike |
ROI |
||
|
6 |
3 |
50.00% |
6.88 |
6 |
100.00% |
6 |
50.00% |
114.67% |
| 4:00 | EPS | Investec Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y CH4 |
|---|
DERBY
ODDS
15/16 from the first 4 In the market
12/16 priced 6/1 or less
5 winning favourites for a small loss of -£1.88
TRAINER
Aiden O’Brien sends lots to the Derby with this year no exception as he has 5 of the 12 runners, his overall strike rate however isn’t too brilliant with 3 winners from 50 runners, he has managed another 9 placed and these have mainly been big priced outsiders so don’t be afraid to back a big priced O’Brien horse for the each way money
LAST RACE
16/16 either won or were beaten less than 4 lengths
15/16 ran in a group race
13/16 last raced at either Chester, Leopardstown, Newmarket or York
OTHER FACTORS
16/16 had won at least one of their last 3 runs
13/16 drawn in stalls 1 to 10
SUMMARY
The top of the market is the place to start with the first 4 in the betting currently
Dawn Approach – Guineas winner, fits the trends and a worthy favourite but at the price not for me with doubts surrounding stamina
Battle of Marengo – Won the Derrinstown Derby Trial last time taking a similar path to Galileo (His dad) and High Chapparel – 2 previous O’Brien winners
Ocovango – French raider trained by Andre Fabre who won with Pour Moi a couple of years ago
Chopin – The first German raider, to be honest I don’t know much about it
They seem to be ultra confident about Dawn Approach but at the prices I would be looking to take him on with either or both Battle of Marengo & Ocovango. Of the rest I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mars step up on his 6th place behind Dawn Approach last time
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