Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 20.4.2013)
April 19, 2013 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
| Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races each Saturday. |
| 1:50 | NBY | Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y CH4 |
|---|
JOHN PORTER STAKES
ODDS
15/16 12/1 or less
13/16 from first 3 in the market
FAVOURITES
4 winning favs for a loss of -£5.75
TRAINER
Sir Michael Stoute has had 3 winners from 15 runners with another 3 placed
Mark Johnston has had 2 winners from 7 runners with another 1 placed
WEIGHT/OR
15/16 top rated or within 10lbs
LAST RACE
5 winners ran at Newbury from 28 runners with another 4 placed
11/16 ran in a group race from 78 runners compared to 5 from 83 that did not
16/16 finished in the first 6
OTHER FACTORS
15/16 had run in this Class of race before
15/16 had run over today’s distance
SUMMARY
You want a horse that has raced over today’s distance and class of race before. They preferably ran in a group race last time out where they finished in the first 6 and today they are the top rated or within 10lbs of the top one & priced 12/1 or less
Likely winner: NOBLE MISSION,
Outsider: FATTSOTA
| 2:20 | NBY | Berry Bros & Rudd Magnum Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4 |
|---|
SPRING CUP
ODDS
11/15 priced 12/1 or less
10/15 from the first 5 in the betting
FAVOURITES
Just 2 for a loss of -£6.50
AGE
11/15 aged 4
WEIGHT/OR
15/15 with an OR of between 78-100
0/15 Top weight
LAST RACE
15/15 started at odds of 20/1 or less
15/15 started in a Class 2,3 or 4 race
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had finished in the top 4in at least 1 of their last 3 runs
15/15 had run at the distance before
SUMMARY
We need a horse that ran in Class 2 to 4 race last time that started at odds of 20/1 or less, that has a top 4 finish in 1 of it’s last 3 runs and has also run at today’s distance of a mile before. Preferably the horse will be aged 4 and we should be looking at horses priced 12/1 or less. Using those 6 factors in past years narrowed the field down to
|
Bets |
Wins |
WinStrike |
SP_PL |
Places |
|
42 |
9 |
21.43% |
50.5 |
20 |
| 3:50 | AYR | Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase Grade 3 Cl1 4m110y CH4 |
|---|
SCOTTISH NATIONAL
ODDS
14/16 priced 20/1 or less
FAVOURITES
Just 2 winning favs for a loss of -£10.50
AGE
15/16 aged 8 to 11
WEIGHT/OR
16/16 rated 150 or less
LAST RACE
Those that ran at Cheltenham or Aintree last time out have a poor record, Cheltenham 2/81 & Aintree 2/88
16/16 finished in the first 6
16/16 were priced at 20/1 or less
Only 2 winners from 139 runners ran in a Class 1 race as 14/16 came from a Class 2 or 3 race
15/16 raced over at least 3 miles though none ran in the Grand National
Only 1 winner ran in a Non Handicap race from 74 runners
OTHER FACTORS
16/16 had run in the last 90 days
10/16 had run at the track before
SUMMARY
I would be looking for a horse is aged 8 to 11, that ran in the last 90 days, that finished in the first 6 in a handicap race, over at least 3 miles that was not the Grand National last time out and today is priced at 20/1 or less
Likely winner: MONSIEUR CADOU comes up on the trends
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