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Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 1.12.2012) TV Races

November 30, 2012 by  
Filed under Recent Articles

Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races  each Saturday.

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HENNESSY GOLD CUP

ODDS
The 1st two in the betting market have produced 9 winners for a profit +£14.25, 17 have also been placed

FAVOURTIES

5 winners fro a profit of £5.75

TRAINERS

Not much to go on but Paul Nicholls has won the race 3 times from 29 runners with another 6 placed

Nicky Henderson has had only 1 winner from 13 runners but another 5 have placed

AGE

15/15 aged 6 to 9

WEIGHT/OR

15/15 rated 136 or above

14/15 from the top 9 in the weights

LAST RACE

15/15 last raced in the UK

0 winners from 30 runners last raced in a listed event, only 3 placed too

14/15 finished in the 1st three last time out or pulled up or fell

OTHER FACTORS

15/15 had won at least 2 chase races

14/15 had either run once in the last 90 days or not at all

SUMMARY

On paper this looks a wide open handicap but the stats say that the best place to start is to look at the first 2 in the betting, particularly if you can get an each way price.  Other factors we want on our side is for the horse to be aged 6 to 9, that finished in the first three last time put, in a race that was not a listed race or in Ireland.

 

 

 

FIGHTING FIFTH HURDLE

ODDS

11/15 priced at 9/4 or less

FAVOURITES

9 winners for a profit of +£3.82

TRAINERS
Donald McCain has won the race twice from 2 runners

Nicky Henderson has won the race twice from 6 runners with another 2 placed

AGE

15/15 aged 5 to 9

LAST RACE
14/15 finished in the first 3

10/15 ran in a grade 1,2 or 3 race from 43 runners compared to 5/15 winners from 59 runners that did not run in a grade race.  3 of the other winners that did not contest a grade race, ran on the flat or all weather last time out.

OTHER FACTORS

14/15 had won at least once in their last 3 races

14/15 had won at least 2 hurdle races

SUMMARY

We are looking for a horse priced 9/4 or less that is aged 5 to 9

Jonathan Burgess

Jonathan Burgess is an official Betfair Accredited Trainer and racing columnist for various respected betting industry publications such as: Betting School, The Daily Punt and Betfair’s Education site. He also runs the Profitable – False Favourites Betting Tips Club. You can contact him here


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