Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For CH4 Races (Saturday 13.10.2012)
October 12, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
| NWM | Dubai Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4 |
CHALLENGE STAKES
ODDS
14/14 priced at 20/1 or less
FAVOURITES
3 winning favs for a loss of -£0.37
The 2nd favourite has won 5 times producing a profit of +£10.50
TRAINER
Barry Hills has won the race 4 times from 15 runners with another 2 placed, so looked out for his son’s Charlie’s runners
John Gosden has won the race twice from 12 runners with another 2 placed
Saeed Bin Suroor has won the race twice from 17 runners with another 5 placed
AGE
14/14 aged 3 to 6
WEIGHT/OR
11/14 rated 112 or more
LAST RACE
11/14 ran in a Group race
10/14 finished in the 1st 3
7 winners from 35 runners last raced at Goodwood with another 7 placed
All 10 runners that last raced in a Handicap lost
OTHER FACTORS
14/14 had won at the distance
Irish bred have produced only 1 winner from 56 runners
SUMMARY
We are looking for a horse that is aged 3 to 6, priced at 20/1 or less, that has won over 7 furlongs before which is preferably rated 112 or more and which ran at Goodwood last time out. Also look closely at John Gosden, Charlie Hills & Saeed Bin Suroor trained horses
| Newmarket | Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4 |
DEWHURST
ODDS
As there is normally a short priced hot pot in this race when there is a shock it is generally a big one so don’t be afraid to back a big priced horse in this race. Backing all 34 runners with an SP of 20/1 to 33/1 would have resulted in a profit of +£128.00
FAVOURITES
Despite the above favourites have a decent record with 6 winning for a small loss of -£1.65
TRAINER
6 winners were trained in Ireland from 35 runners with a further 9 placed
8 winners were trained in the UK from 107 runners
Jim Bolger has won the race 4 times from just 7 runners
Aiden O’Brien has won the race twice from 29 runners with another 9 placed
LAST RACE
5 winners last raced at the Curragh from 28 runners with a further 6 placed
OTHER FACTORS
12/14 had raced at the distance
SUMMARY
Not a great deal of facts above but the ones that are there are, I thin, quite significant. We should be concentrating on Irish trained horses and I think it is an opportunity to back the outsiders and also as the favourites have a reasonable record have a saver on the favourite.
| York | coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4 |
ROCKINGHAM
ODDS
9/12 priced 6/1 or less
TRAINERS
No trends here
LAST RACE
12/12 raced either over 6f or 7f
3 winners last raced at Redcar from 10 runners
2 winners last raced at Goodwood from just 2 runners
2 winners last raced at Newbury from 11 runners with another 3 placed
5 winners from just 24 runners raced within the last 10 days
OTHER FACTORS
12/12 had finished in the first 2 in at least one of their last 3 races
10/12 had won at the distance
SUMMARY
We should be looking towards the top of the market here, for a horse that has won at the distance and last raced over 6 to 7f preferably within the last 10 days
| Newmarket | Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4 |
CESAREWITCH
ODDS
12/14 priced 20/1 or less. There have been 293 runners at 22/1 or more producing just 2 winners
FAVOURITES
Just 2 winning favourites for a loss of -£5.00
TRAINER
Sir Mark Prescott has had 15 runners and has had no winners or placed horses
Brian Ellison has had 11 runners and has had no winners or placed horses
WEIGHT/OR
All winners carried 9st 8lbs or less
LAST RACE
14/14 started at an SP of 12/1 or less
14/14 raced over 1m 6f or further
0/14 raced in a Class 5 or 6 race from 29 runners
3 winners from 15 runners last raced at Chester with another one placed
2 winners last raced at Newcastle from 9 runners with another 1 placed
0 winners from 32 runners came from Goodwood and none placed either
OTHER FACTORS
14/14 finished in the top 5 in at least 1 of their last 3 cases
14/14 had won at least twice in their careers AND had won or placed at least 4 times
SUMMARY
The big field makes this tricky but we are looking for a horse that ran over at least 1 mile 6 furlongs at odds of 12/1 or less in a Class 1-4 race last time, even better if that race was at Chester or Newcastle. In the race itself it we want to be carrying 9 stone 8lbs or less and have odds of 20/1 or less.
SELECTION: Cry For The Moon @ 33`1 bet this horse splitting 1 point i.e. – 0.5 win 0.5Â to place
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Comments
One Response to “Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For CH4 Races (Saturday 13.10.2012)”Speak Your Mind
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Hi Johnathan
Looking at your summary apart from the price Icon Dream ticks all the boxes ( prices from 33-1 down to 22-1)