Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For CH4 Races (Saturday 8.9.2012)
September 7, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing) and Jonathan Burgess. The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday.
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TV Race Trends for Saturday – 8.9.2012
4:00 Betfred Mobile Lotto Old Borough Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f
OLD BOROUGH CUP – 11 races
ODDS
9/11 priced 12/1 or less
FAVOURTIES
5 winning favourites for a profit of +£12.50
WEIGHT/OR
9/11 either top rated or within 10lbs
TRAINERS
Mark Johnston has had the most runners with 21 producing 3 winners, with a further 4 placed
John GOsden has had just the 3 runners with 1 winner and the other 2 placed
AGE
10/11 aged 3,4 or 5 (3 yr olds best with 5 2ins and SR of 16%)
LAST RACE
11/11 ran in a Class 2,3 or 4 race
11/11 ran over a distance of 1 mile 2 1/2 Furlongs to 1 mile 6f
11/11 ran 11 to 45 days ago
10/11 finished in the 1st four
OTHER FACTS
11/11 had NOT won at the track before, 34 previous winners all lost with 8 placed
Previous Class & Distance winners are also preferred
SUMMARY
Look for a horse aged 3,4 or 5, that ran 11 to 45 days ago, over 1m 2 ½ f to 1m 6f last time out that finished in the 1st four. Focus on the top weight and those within 10lbs that have won at the distance and class before. Look closely at the favourite and any John Gosden runners for each way purposes
2:50 HAY Celebrating 45 Years of Betfred Superior Mile (Listed Race) Cl1 1m
SUPERIOR MILE – 8 Races
ODDS
8/8 priced at 12/1 or less
FAVOURITES
3 winning favourites for a loss of -£0.02
TRAINER
Sir Michael Stoute has won the race twice from just 3 runners
Mark Johnston has had just the 2 runners, 1 won and the other placed
WEIGHT/OR
8/8 rated 103 or more
7/8 top rated or within 10 of the top one
LAST RACE
3 winners last raced at Ascot from just 6 runners
3 winners last raced at York from 13 runners with another 3 placed
6/8 last raced in a Group or listed raced from 38 runners (none from Gp2 or 3 though from 12 runners), 2 winners from 25 runners for the other classes
OTHER FACTORS
7/8 had won at least one of their last 5 races
SUMMARY
Priced 12/1 or less, hat is rated 103 or more who preferably raced at York or Ascot last time that competed in a Class 1 race. Also look closely at Sir Michael Stoute and Mark Johnston runners
3:25 HAY Betfred Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f
HAYDOCK SPRINT CUP – 15 races
ODDS
Various so no angle though 14/15 have been from the first 7 in the market
FAVOURITES
4 winning favourites for a profit of +£2.13
TRAINERS
Roger Charlton has won the race twice from 10 runners with a further 3 placed
LAST RACE
15/15 finished in 1st six last time out
11/15 raced within the last 60 days
11/15 either won or were beaten less 3 lengths or less
5 winners last raced at York from 64 runners with another 8 placed
4 winners last raced at Newmarket on the July course from 44 runners with a further 10 placed
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had finished in the 1st three on at least 1 of their last 3 runs
13/15 had at least 3 career wins
13/15 had run at least 3 times at the distance
0/15 have won drawn in stalls 1 -3
SUMMARY
A wide open sprint where not a great deal stands out, just avoid those drawn low and look at those that are in reasonable form.
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