Trends, Statistics And Betting Angles For CH4 Races (Saturday 30.6.2012)
June 29, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
The following betting advice, statistics and trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing) and Jonathan Burgess. The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races on CH 4 each Saturday. (Refer to our comments for potential bet strategies) We have also provided strategic bet placement advice.
Backing or Dutching
Following these bet placement approaches you`ll either be risking one point or split staking, ultimately there’s less risk than when laying! You can use this dutching calculator to work out your stakes here. Read our tutorial on how to use Dutching to make regular profits here
Odds & Liability When laying
Obviously nobody wants to take unnecessary risks. However with Graded & Listed races being so competitive it often means the favourites go off at bigger odds, although the amount of mug money being thrown into the market means we can often obtain value lays on an over bet favourites. Use the liability function on your Betfair bet slip, if your not sure how to do this, here`s a tutorial.
Alternatively, if you manage to get value of your lay bet before the race starts you can minimise the risk by backing the horse in play for bigger odds.
Take the hassle out of betting
Bet-Sender is an Automated Betting Bot which helps automate your betting activities while you’re away at work or simply want to spend time with your family.
You can bet on UK/US Horse Racing, Greyhound racing or any other Sport . You can select the favourite, an individual horse, greyhound or team the choice is entirely yours.
You can even test out the tipster services, Laying or Backing systems or your own strategies by using the fantastic simulation mode, which works exactly as normal but doesn`t actually place the bets, so you can see how successful the strategy is, with out risking a penny!
Simply load selections into the bot and go off and do what you want for the day. Bet-Sender will do the rest.
Even better unlike other betting bots there`s no monthly subscriptions, just a very reasonable one off payment which you`ll recoup within the first few weeks of use.
Reading about all the features Betsender has to offer will help to give you a clear overview of this fantastic software. However, in order to make an informed decision on whether this betting bot is right for you…Try the generous 7-day free trial that’s available.
So, what are you waiting for?!
Download a FULL WORKING version of Bet-Sender NOW! (FREE for 7 Days)
Clicking the “Download link above” will provide you with the Betsender.exe download file. Simply click on the save file button to download a full working version of the software to your computer.
| 2:15 | NEC | Betfred Mobile Lotto Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4 |
|---|
CHIPCHASE
ODDS
14/15 priced 12/1 or less
FAVOURITES
6 winning favourites for a profit of £2.25
TRAINERS
Richard Fahey has had 2 winners from 5 runners with another one placed
LAST RACE
7 winners last raced at Ascot from 46 runners with a further 10 placed
3 winners last raced at York from 16 runners with a further 4 placed
12/15 last raced over 6 furlongs
Look closely at those that ran in a group 1 race last time, 4 winners from 17 runners with another 7 placed.
Those coming from a group 2 have a poor record with just the 1 winner from 26 runners
OTHER FACTORS 15/15 had finished in the 1st two on at least 1 of their last 3 races
15/15 had won at least twice in their careers
15/15 had won over the distance
| 3:20 | NEC | John Smith´s Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y CH4 |
|---|
NORTHUMBERLAND PLATE
ODDS
A wide range of winners though out of 8horses priced less than 4/1 all lost
FAVOURITES
2/15 for a loss of -£5.50
TRAINERS
Not much to go on the winning front but Mark Johnston has had 17 runners and has not even had one placed yet
AGE
For some reason 5 yr olds have a poor record 0/62 and the place % is less too
3 year old runners are few and far between but 2 have won from only 6 runners with another one placed
WEIGHT/OR
Only 1 winner has carried 8 st 11lb or more from 95 runners
15/15 rated 85 to 104
12/15 rated 85 to 93 ( a good starting point perhaps)
LAST RACE
Look out for horses that ran in a National Hunt class race last time out, 4 winners from just 10 runners with another 2 placed
6 winners last raced at Ascot from 70 runners with another 5 placed
3 winners last raced at Haydock with another 5 placed
Courses to avoid are perhaps Chester, Goodwood, Newmarket & York where 94 runners have come from producing jus the 1 winner
12/15 finished in the first 5
15/15 raced 6-60 days ago
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 had won at least 1 race in their careers
15/15 had run at least twice in the last 90 days
15/15 finished in the first 3 in at least one of their last 5 races
14/15 finished in the first 3 in at least one of their last 3 races
13/15 had run at the distance before
Avoid USA bred horses as only 1 winner from 30 runners, place % poor too compared to GB and IRE bred
| 3:35 | NWJ | John Sunley Memorial Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4 |
|---|
CRITERIAN STAKES
ODDS
Various odds though 15/15 from the 1st 6 in the betting market
FAVOURITES
5 winning favs for a loss of -£1.46
TRAINERS
Sir Michael Stoute has had just the 1 winner from 6 runners but has had another 3 placed
Roger Charlton has had only 3 runners, 1 winner and the other 2 placed
WEIGHT/OR
14/15 rated within 10 lbs of the top rated
LAST RACE
6 winners last raced at Ascot from 31 runners with another 10 placed – 52% PLACED SR
2 winners last raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) from 9 runners with another 3 placed – 56% PLACED SR
OTHER FACTORS
8/15 had won at least 1 of their last 3 races, 57 runners producing a profit of +£32.46
| 3:00 | NWJ | Betfair Supports The Animal Health Trust Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4 |
|---|
FRED ARCHER
ODDS
15/15 priced at 12/1 or less
FAVOURITES
8 winning favourites for a profit of +£1.89
TRAINERS
Luca Cumani has had 3 winners from 5 runners with another one placed
Sir Michael Stoute has had 3 winners from 9 runners with another 1 placed
Mark Johnston has had 2 winners from 5 runners
WEIGHT
14/15 rated within 10 lbs of the top rated
AGE
14/15 aged 4 or 5
LAST RACE
3 winners last raced at Ascot from 9 runners
3 winners last raced at Leicester from 10 runners with another 1 placed
2 winners last raced at York from 7 runners with another 1 placed
OTHER FACTORS
14/15 had finished in the 1st two in at least 1 of their last 3 runs
Learn how to make realistic profits from betting
Practical, profitable advise direct to your inbox
- Proven techniques I use in my own betting
- Honest reviews on systems and services that are profitable
- Exclusive tips to make your betting easier & more profitable
Copyright secured by Digiprove 2010 Jonathan Burgess
