Trends, Statistics And Betting Angles For CH4 Races (Saturday 28.4.2012)
April 27, 2012 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Backing or Dutching
Following these bet placement approaches you`ll either be risking one point or split staking, ultimately there’s less risk than when laying! You can use this dutching calculator to work out your stakes here. Read our tutorial on how to use Dutching to make regular profits here
Odds & Liability When laying
Obviously nobody wants to take unnecessary risks. However with Graded & Listed races being so competitive it often means the favourites go off at bigger odds, although the amount of mug money being thrown into the market means we can often obtain value lays on an over bet favourites. Use the liability function on your Betfair bet slip, if your not sure how to do this, here`s a tutorial.
Alternatively, Â if you manage to get value of your lay bet before the race starts you can minimise the risk by backing the horse in play for bigger odds.
Start making a regular low risk monthly income, from FREE bookmaker bets NOW!
| 2:35 | SANDOWN | bet365.Com Celebration Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m CH4 |
|---|
CELEBRATION CHASE – last 11 races
ODDS
11/11 priced 12/1 or less
FAVOURITES
Just one winning favourite for a loss of -£8.75
TRAINER angles
Paul Nicholls dominates with 4 winners from 19 runners with a further 5 placed. Bet his runners each way
Henrietta Knight has had just 3 tries in the race, Edredon Bleu won and came 3rd and the other, Impek came 2nd
AGE
10/11 aged 6 to 9
WEIGHT
Don’t let the Group 1 penalty of carrying 4lb extra put you off as it makes no difference in terms of strike rate
LAST RACE
5 winners last raced at Cheltenham from 28 runners with a further 4 placed
4 winners last raced at Aintree from 27 runners with a further 7 placed
Only 2 winners raced in a handicap last time from 39 runners compared to 9 winners from Non Handicaps from 41 runners
9/11 ran in a Grade 1 race last time backing all these runners would have made you a profit of £14.38
Strangely the 11 horses that won their last race and tried to win this have all lost, 3 placed
10/11 raced within the last 45 days
OTHER FACTORS
10/11 had won at least 6 times in their careers
10/11 had won at least 4 chase races
| 3:10 | SANDOWN | bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 Cl1 3m5f110y CH4 |
|---|
BETFRED GOLD CUP – last 15 yrs
ODDS
15/15 priced between 9/2 to 40/1, all 9 horses starting less than 9/2 have been beaten, 4 of them placed
FAVOURITES
Favourites have a poor record 1 winner for a LOSS of -£13.00
TRAINER angles
Paul Nicholls has also had 2 winners but from 33 runners, a further 8 were placed. Again each way possibilities for his runners TIDAL BAY & ALDERTUNE
Philip Hobbs also has 2 winners from 18 runners with a further 7 placed so 50% place SR. Place – possibilities for his runners ROALCO DE FARGES
AGE no angle
WEIGHT
No horse has carried 11 stone 6lbs or more to win in the last 15 years, 26 have tried and ONLY 1 place too. 13/15 carried less than 11 stone so definitely looking down the weights for this one.
LAST RACE
4 winners last raced at AIntree but from 97 runners, 11 more placed
4 winners last raced at Cheltenham from 56 runners, 15 more placed
3 winners last raced at Ayr from 25 runners, 4 more placed
1 winner last raced at Chepstow from just 4 runners and a further 2 placed (75% placed SR) so keep an eye out for runners from Chepstow
2 winners last raced at Fairyhouse from 9 runners with another placed
0 winners from Newbury or Sandown who had 20 runners between them (3 placed)
14/15 ran over at least 3 miles last time
15/15 raced within the last 60 days
OTHER FACTORS
Those wearing blinkers or visors have won the race just the once from 54 runners
GB bred horses produced just the 1 winner from 52 runners
| 3:45 | SAN | bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y CH4 |
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GORDON RICHARDS STAKES – last 15 years
ODDS
14/15 priced at 8/1 or less
FAVOURITES
5 winning favourites for a loss of -£1.45
TRAINER angles
Those with runners today John Gosden has had 1 winner from 4 runners with another one placed THOUGHT WORTHY
AGE no angle
LAST RACE
12/15 were priced at 6/1 or less
All 10 horses to have raced in a handicap last time out have lost, with none even placed
———————–
4.15 SANDOWN Bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £31,191 RUK Heavy 1m2f7y Number of runners: 4
CLASSIC TRIAL
ODDS
13/15 priced 8/1 or less
FAVOURITES
Just 2 winning favourites for a loss of -£8.87
TRAINER angles
John Gosden 6 placed horses (1 winner) from 11 runners. Each way possibilities for his runners COLOMBIAN
LAST RACE
3 winners last raced at Newbury from just 9 runners with a further 2 placed
2 winners last raced at Haydock from 2 RUNNERS
2 winners last raced at Doncaster from 9 runners, 1 more placed
2 winners last raced at Newmarket from 20 runners with a further 6 placed
13/15 priced 8/1 or less on their last run
There have been 4 horses that raced a GROUP 1 race last time out, 3 have won and the other placed
9/15 won their last race
LEICESTERSHIRE STAKES – last 14 years
ODDS
14/14 priced 12/1 or less
13/14 priced 6/1 or less
FAVOURITES
Just 3 winning favs for a loss of -£6.55
TRAINER angles
None
WEIGHT
Those with an OR of 113 or above have won 5 races from just 8 runners, so class does appear to count
LAST RACE
2 winners last raced at Warwick from only 6 runners with a further one placed
2 winners last raced at Ascot from just 7 runners with another 2 placed
3 winners last raced at one of the Newmarket courses from 35 runners with a further 10 paced
OTHER FACTORS
14/14 had run once or not at all in the last 90 days
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