Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 5.1.2013) TV Races
January 4, 2013 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races each Saturday.
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 TV raced trends for Saturday 5.1.2013
TOLWORTH HURDLE
ODDS
13/13 priced 12/1 or less
10/13 from the 1st two in the betting for a profit of +£8.88
FAVOURITES
5 winning favs for a loss of -£2.87
TRAINERS
Paul Nicholls has had 4 winners from 10 runners with another 3 placed
Nicky Henderson has had 2 winners from 6 runners with another 1 placed
Jonjo O’Neill has had 2 winners from 2 runners
AGE
13/13 aged 4 to 7
LAST RACE
13/13 had finished in the 1st two
12/13 had run within the last 45 days
OTHER FACTORS
13/13 had won over hurdles before
10/13 had 100% win and place % strike rate over hurdles
SUMMARY
A pretty good trends race, which has in recent years been dominated by Nicholls & Henderson who have won the last 5 between them. We should be looking for a horse aged 4 to 7, that finished in the first 2 last time out, that also preferably ran within the last 45 days, is in the 1st two in the betting and has a 100% Win & Place strike rate over hurdles.
WELSH NATIONAL
ODDS
Various, though only 1/15 priced at bigger than 20/1
FAVOURITES
Just the 1 winning favourite for a loss of -£11.67
TRAINERS
Paul Nicholls likes to send runners here but has won the race twice from 26 runners (7 more placed)
Nigel Twiston-Davies does 2 with 18 runners producing 2 winners and another 3 placed
Jonjo O’Neill is a bit more selective with 2 winners from 6 runners
AGE
15/15 aged 6 to 9
WEIGHT/OR
15/15 carried 11st 6lbs or less, in fact the top 2 in the weights have NO wins from 31 runners
LAST RACE
7 winners last raced at Chepstow from 37 runners with another 6 placed
Take note of horses that ran over hurdles last time to keep their chase mark down as 4 winners have come from 27 runners (another 4 placed) compared to 11/224 that started in a chase last time
15/15 raced within the last 60 days
15/15 finished in the first 6
10/15 finished in the first 2
OTHER FACTORS
15/15 finished in the first 5 in at least 1 of their last 3 runs
13/15 finished in the first 2 in at least 1 of their last 3 runs
SUMMARY
Not too bad for a wide open handicap with the favourites not having a great record we should be looking at a horse that is aged 6 to 9, carrying less than 11st 6lbs, that is race fit with a run within the last 60 days and finished in the first 6 though the first 2 is preferable. If the horse last raced at Chepstow even better.
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