Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 30.3.2013)
March 28, 2013 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races each Saturday.
 TV raced trends for Saturday 30.3.2013
| 1:55 | DONCASTER | William Hill Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4 |
|---|
SPRING MILE
ODDS
All over the place
FAVOURITES
Just the 2 winning favs for a loss of -£3.00
TRAINER
Dandy Nicholls has had 23 runners with no winners
Richard Fahey has had 16 runners providing 2 winners and another 5 placed
AGE
16/16 aged 4 to 6 (there have been 68 runners aged 7 or over and only 6 have placed)
LAST RACE
14 winners last raced in either a Class 3,4 or 5 race (100 runners came from either a Class 1 or 2 race and only 1 won)
Only 1 winner came from a Non handicap from 51 runners
OTHER FACTORS
12 winners had finished in the first 2 in at least one of their last 3 starts
SUMMARY
Start with the age, only 4 to 6 year olds need apply. Avoid horses that ran in a Class 1 or 2 race last time out and choose one that has preferably been in the first 2 in at least 1 of its last 3 races. You will still probably left with quite a few runners but this race does provide big priced winners but Fahey runners are worth a look for EW purposes in the LINCOLN
| 3:05 | DONCASTER | William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4 |
|---|
ODDS
No winner priced 50/1 or more from 57 runners
FAVOURITES
Surprisingly for such a competitive race, favourites have a very good record with 6 wins for a profit of £15.33
TRAINER
Dandy Nicholls has had 23 runners and not one has placed
William Haggas has had 5 runners providing 2 winners and another placed
LAST RACE
96 runners came from a non handicap and only 1 won
10/16 either won or were beaten less than 3 lengths
OTHER FACTORS
11/16 had won at least 1 of their last 3 races
SUMMARY
William Haggas has had good recent success and has Nine Realms currently vying for favouritism but he ran in a non handicap last time so that would put me off
| 2:20 | KEMPTON | 6 Places Eachway Grand National At BetVictor Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f CH4 |
|---|
MAGNOLIA STAKES
ODDS
16/16 priced 12/1 or less
13/16 priced 4/1 or less
FAVOURITES
9 winning favourites for a profit of +£6.81
TRAINER
John Gosden has had 3 winners from 5 runners with another 1 placed
William Haggas has had 2 wins from 4 runners with another 1 placed
LAST RACE
11/16 last raced on the flat
8/16 were favourites last time from just 15 runners providing a profit of 22.75, compared to a loss of -£67.08 for those that were not
13 winners last raced in a non handicap race
3 Winners came from a Group 1 or 2 from just 6 runners
OTHER FACTORS
15/16 had either run once or not at all in the last 90 days and all had a break of at least 25 days
SUMMARY
A good race for horses priced under 4/1 so that is the place to start. If they started favourite last time ut and were trained by John Gosden or William Haggas all the better. Also pay attention to horses that ran in a Group 1 or 2 race last time out. Simply by applying 2 factors
1)Â Â Â Â Â Horses priced 4/1 or less and
2)Â Â Â Â Â Favourite, jt or co fav Last time out
Gives you just 7 runners and 6 won for a profit of
|
Bets |
Wins |
SP_PL |
Races |
|
7 |
6 |
8.79 |
6 |
And indeed a 100% race strike rate
| 2:55 | KEMPTON | BetVictor.com Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier) Cl2 1m3fCH4 |
|---|
ROSEBERRY HANDICAP
ODDS
Various but 14/16 priced between 13/2 & 20/1
Just one winner priced 6/1 or less from 19 runners
FAVOURITES
Just the 1 winning favourite for a loss of -£12.50
TRAINER
Richard Hannon has had 11 runners and had just the one placed
AGE
14/16 aged 4 or 5
WEIGHT/OR
12/16 were either top rated or within 10 of the top
16/16 rated 81 or higher
LAST RACE
26 runners last raced at Wolverhampton and none have won
22 runners started their last race at odds of 9/4 or less and all have been beaten, 8 did place though
Just 4 winners came from a Class 1 race but it represents the highest Strike rate as this was from 33 runners, compared to 5/109 for Class 2, 3/66 for Class 3, 3/47 for Class 4, 0/5 for Class 5
OTHER FACTORS
0 winners had raced 4 or more times in the last 90 days
14/16 had between 2 to 4 career wins
SUMMARY
A tough race to solve and not too many positive stats so perhaps best to work backwards using the negative ones of those that ran at Wolverhampton or started 9/4 or less last time out or ran 4 or more times in the last 90 days. My next preference would be at looking at those with 2-4 career wins and then take it from there, paying particular attention to those that ran in a Class 1 race last time out
| 3:50 | HAYDOCK | BetVictor Grand National 6 Places Handicap Chase (Jockey Club Grassroots Chase Series Final) Cl2 2m6f CH4 |
|---|
Please note: this race now takes place at Haydock not Newbury, as it was originally set to run LAST WEEK
ODDS 10/13 priced 6/1 or less
FAVOURTIES
6 winning favs for a profit of £5.58
TRAINERS
Nicky Henderson has had 9 runners and has had no winners though 2 have placed
AGE
14/14 aged 5 to 8
WEIGHT/OR
12/14 rated 11lbs or more lower than the highest rated
LAST RACE
13/14 were price 6/1 or less
14/14 ran on a Class 3 or 4, though beware only 13 runners did not
13/14 ran over a distance between 2m 3 1/2f to 2m 6f
Those that ran over hurdles Last time have a good record with 3 winners from 15 runners
11/14 finished in the 1st two or fell
OTHER FACTORS
12/14 had won at least one chase race
SUMMARY
We are looking for a horse aged 5 to 8, that has won at least 1 chase race, that in its last race was priced 6/1 or less, ran over a distance of between 2m 3f to 2m 6f and finished in the first 2 or fell, over the years that would give you 9 winners and profit of £19.63 to a £1 stake.
Learn how to make realistic profits from betting
Practical, profitable advise direct to your inbox
- Proven techniques I use in my own betting
- Honest reviews on systems and services that are profitable
- Exclusive tips to make your betting easier & more profitable
Copyright secured by Digiprove © 2010 Jonathan Burgess
