Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 19.1.2013) TV Races

Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races  each Saturday.

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TV raced trends for Saturday 19.1.2013

3:15	HAY	Peter Marsh Chase (Limited Handicap) Grade 2 Cl1 3m CH4

PETER MARSH CHASE

ODDS
All over the place

FAVOURITES
Just the one winner from 13 runnings of the race for a loss of -£9.75 including 2 odds on shots getting beat

TRAINERS
Nigel Twiston-Davies had had 9 runners and not one has placed

Sue Smith has had 2 winners from just 7 runners ( 2 more placed)

Venetia Williams has had 2 winners from 6 runners (1 more placed)

David Pipe has had just the 2 runners, 1 winner and 1 placed

AGE

13/13 aged 8 to 12.  15 horses aged 7 or less have all lost with 3 placed

WEIGHT

Top weight have only won twice but a further 6 have placed so 8 have placed from 15 runners so a decent record

LAST RACE

6 winners last raced at Wetherby from 20 runners with another 6 placed

3 winners last raced at Haydock from 13 runners with another 4 placed

All winners raced over at least 3 miles

10 winners raced in either a Listed or Graded race

OTHER FACTORS

Surprisingly perhaps French (FR) breds are only 1/29

Summary

Usually a bit of a slog in the mud at Haydock this time of year and we are looking for a horse aged 8 to 12, that last ran in a listed or grade chase over at least 3 miles, preferably run at Wetherby or Haydock.  In fact if we run just those 3 criteria through the excellent www.horseracebase.com race trends we get

Bets	Wins	WinStrike	SP_PL	Places	PlaceStrike
13	7	53.85%	34.75	9	69.23%

 

3:00	ASC	BetVictor.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y CH4

ASCOT – 2m 5f HCAP CHASE

ODDS

11/12 from the first 4 in the betting

10/12 priced 8/1 or less

FAVOURITES

3 winning favourites for a loss of -£3.80

AGE

12/12 aged 10 or less

WEIGHT/OR

12/12 rated 143 or less

LAST RACE

8/12 finished in the first 3

5/12 ran in a non handicap race from 20 runners compared to 7/12 from 89 runners that ran in a handicap

SUMMARY

We are looking for a horse in the 1^st four in the betting that is aged 10 or less and has a rating of 143 or less that preferably finished in the first 3, last time out.  Also look closely at those that did not run in a handicap last time out.

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