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Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 18.1.2014)

January 16, 2014 by  
Filed under Recent Articles

Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races  each Saturday.

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2:40 HAY stanjames.com Champion Hurdle Trial (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

CHAMPION HURDLE TRIAL

ODDS

13/13 priced 12/1 or less

5 winning favourites for a small loss of -£1.99

WEIGHT

11/13 had been either TOP weight or within 6lbs of the top one

LAST RACE
4 winners last raced at Kempton from just 7 runners, another 2 were placed

13/13 either finished in the first 3 or failed to complete

OTHER FACTORS
11/13 had run at least once in this class of race

SUMMARY

Looking for a horse that finished in the first 3 or failed to finish last time out that has run this class of race before and is top weight or within 6lbs.  I would be looking for a horse that also ran in graded/listed company preferably at Kempton last time out too.

3:15 HAY Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f CH4

PETER MARSH CHASE

ODDS
10/13 priced 8/1 or less though just the 1 winning favourite for a loss of -£9.75

AGE

13/13 aged 8 or more

LAST RACE
9 winners last raced at either Wetherby (6) or Haydock (3) from 33 runners with another 8 placed.

0 winners last raced at Cheltenham or Chepstow from 31 runners

36 runners came from a Class 2 race but none have won

11 winners last raced over 3 miles to 3m 1 furlong

10 winners last raced in Graded or Listed company  from 59 runners compared to 2 winners from 50 runners for Non major races

OTHER FACTORS
12/13 were wither (GB) or (IRE), just the 1 (FR) bred from 29 runners

12/13 had at come 1st, 2nd or 3rd in at least one of their last 3 races

8/13 had run at least twice at the track from 51 runners compared to 5 winners from 64 runners who ran run once or not at all.  Indeed those who had run 6 or more times previously at Haydock produced 3 winners from just 7 runners (profit of +£44.00) with another one placed

SUMMARY

We should be looking for a horse aged 8 or more, that is either (GB) or (IRE) bred that has a Top 3 finish in at least one of their last 3 races.  I would also be leaning towards one that last raced at Wetherby or Haydock over a trip of 3 miles to 3m 1 furlong in a Graded/Listed Race

About Jonathan Burgess

Jonathan Burgess is an official Betfair Accredited Trainer and racing columnist for various respected betting industry publications such as: Betting School, The Daily Punt and Betfair's Education site. He also runs the Profitable - False Favourites Betting Tips Club Which cost just 24 pence a day. You can also connect with him on Facebook and Twitter

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