Free Betting Tips, Racing Trends & Statistics For (Saturday 16.11.2013)
November 14, 2013 by Jonathan
Filed under Recent Articles
Our FREE horse racing tips, betting advice, statistics and Trainer Trends have been compiled by Jonathan Sutcliffe (AJ-racing). The aim is to provide you with key statistical trends to help you find profitable angles when betting on the televised races each Saturday.
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PADDYPOWER GC
ODDS
Various but 10/16 priced 8/1 or less
11/16 from the top 3 in the betting
A good race for favourites with 6 winning for a profit of +£13.25
TRAINER
Martin Pipe was the master of winning this race with 6 wins and David also has a win so look out for his runners
AGE
16/16 aged 5 to 9
Weight/OR
No horse has carried more than 11st 9lbs to victory
Top rated horse is 0/16
14/16 rated 136 to 150 (159 is the highest to win which was last yrs winner AL Ferof)
LAST RACE
13/16 last raced at Cheltenham, Aintree or Carlisle
13/16 started at odds of 4/1 or less
9 winners came from a NON Handicap from 71 runners compared to 7 winners from 175 runners that ran in a handicap
OTHER FACTORS
Not one I usually use but the top5 in the win strike rate have won 12/16 for a profit of +£53.00
16/16 have been (FR) or (IRE) bred
12/16 had won at the track before
SUMMARY
Some good trends here and if we simply take the top 3 in the betting that last raced at Cheltenham, Aintree or Carlisle where their odds were led than 4/1 gives you
|
Bets |
Wins |
WinStrike |
SP_PL |
Places |
PlaceStrike |
|
21 |
8 |
38.10% |
33.25 |
11 |
52.38% |
Interesting when broken down HCP/NON HCP this gives you
|
Breakdown |
Bets |
Wins |
WinStrike |
SP_PL |
Places |
PlaceStrike |
|
Handicap |
8 |
5 |
63% |
22.25 |
5 |
63% |
|
Non-Handicap |
13 |
3 |
23% |
11 |
6 |
46% |
Which contradicts the % strike rates of the overall stats for the race so this is a very good route for the those that ran in a handicap last time, I would also be avoiding (GB) bred horses
For those that ran in NON HCPS I would be looking at those that were not top rated but within 20lbs of the top one and were aged 6,7 or 8 and were (FR) or (IRE) bred which would give you
|
Bets |
Wins |
WinStrike |
SP_PL |
Places |
PlaceStrike |
|
27 |
8 |
29.63% |
53 |
13 |
48.15% |
So a first here we have 2 trends routes for those that ran in NON HCPS and those that ran in HCPS
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